US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends: Jun 30, 2026 Volume: $2.49M Liquidity: $59.2K

Outcomes

Yes
40.5%
No
59.5%

Market Details

Volume
$2.49M
Volume (24h)
$241.0K
Liquidity
$59.2K
Created
Dec 17, 2025
Ends
Jun 30, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.